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Uncertainty Guidances in Science and Public Policy
Why the Weather Forecasts of the Future Forecast will Not Forecast the Future?
Speaker - Leonard Smith (London School of Economics and Political Science)
Leonard Smith is professor of Statistics at the Department of Statistics, The London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE) and Director of the Centre for the Analysis of Time Series (CATS). His original research interests focused on understanding the mathematics of nonlinear dynamical systems, the analysis of observational data, and the application of insights from those two areas to increase our understanding of actual phenomena. This core has broadened to include research questions on the communication of that understanding to the public, decision makers in industry and policy makers in government on one side, and to the philosophical foundations of uncertainty and mathematical modelling on the other.